The LSU Tigers will look to win the sixth straight game at Death Valley in the battle of two unbeaten teams in their SEC opener vs. Auburn. LSU has dominated the series with the Auburn Tigers in recent years having won five of the past six contests with the lone loss coming in Auburn’s undefeated season in 2010 with Cam Newton.
According to David Ching of ESPN.com, The average margin of victory in the last decade is 12.38 points, with seven games decided by nine points or less. The three losses to Auburn since 2004 have been by a combined 12 points including a one-point loss in 2004, so in reality Auburn is one Heisman winner away from having a 10-game losing streak to their SEC brethren.
If you’re a betting man and you see the 17-point spread for Saturday’s game in Tiger Stadium which kicks off at 6:45 pm central time, does the knowledge of recent history make you think the spread is too large?
Auburn has scored a total of 47 points in the past four games with three games at 10 points, but this is a much-improved offense under Gus Malzahn and Nick Marshall at quarterback. Conversely, you can say the same about Cam Cameron’s offense and Zach Mettenberger’s development.
If you’re making a wager are you thinking this will be a blowout like the 45-10 win in 2011 or a nail-biter like the 12-10 game last year?