Why LSU football’s over/under win total is definitely set too low

LSU Football WR Ja'Marr Chase (Photo by Gregory Shamus/Getty Images)
LSU Football WR Ja'Marr Chase (Photo by Gregory Shamus/Getty Images) /
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The over/under win total for LSU football in 2020 has been set.

Earlier this year, I made my game-by-game projections for LSU football and I thought I erred on the side of caution.

After going through each game, I have LSU finishing the 2020 campaign with 10 wins.

If you go off my projections, it would mean you’re betting the over for the Tigers’ win total next season.

Draft Kings has set LSU’s over/under win total at nine games, according to 247Sports.

I’m not a gambler, but I think this is easy money.

Look, the Tigers aren’t winning 15 games again in 2020. No one is expecting that to happen.

But a quick glance through LSU’s schedule shows us eight games that I feel confident saying the Tigers will win.

The only “toss up” games on LSU’s schedule are Texas, Florida, Auburn and Alabama.

It seems incredibly likely that LSU will win at least two of those games. In fact, it’s possible they win three of those matchups.

I think the over/under for the Tigers should be set at 10 for next season. Sure, they lost a lot talent from their dominant 2019 squad. But the cupboard isn’t bare. Ed Orgeron has been recruiting at a high level over the last several years. There’s plenty of talent on the roster.

You’d have to be a fool to bet the under here. There’s no way LSU is winning only eight games in 2020.

Setting the over/under at 9.5 would’ve been a bit more acceptable. I don’t expect it to happen. but it’s certainly possible that LSU loses three of those four toss up games. I could see someone laying money on that outcome.

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But betting they lose all four of those matchups?

Nah, that’s just giving away money.