There has been a lot of outside chatter this week surrounding LSU versus Auburn. It seems as if fans and pundits have talked about everything besides the game itself. There are a lot of talking points in this one—from the history to the weather to Bryan Harsin’s job security—but that doesn’t mean anything once the two teams take the field. It’s Brian Kelly’s first away game in the Southeastern Conference, so how will his team fare?
Oddsmakers believe the Bayou Bengals will win this game comfortably. Though if the Tiger Bowl has taught us anything over the years, it’s that nothing is guaranteed when these teams get together. The LSU opened up as about a touchdown favorite at Jordan-Hare Stadium. The line has since shifted numerous times, reaching -9.5 in favor of the visitors at one point—now it’s back down to -8.5. Keeping all of that in mind, let’s discuss some of the best bets.
Best LSU football bets for the Week 5 match-up against Auburn
Las Vegas has obviously been too busy messing with the gamelines to give us any real opportunities at props in this game. There are some point and total lines out there, but as of Thursday afternoon, nothing regarding player props. This is a shame as that’s been my bread and butter in recent weeks. Nevertheless, we’ll manage to come up with some creative plays.
Here are the odds via FanDuel Sportsbook:
Spread: LSU -8.5 (-105) | Auburn +8.5 (-115)
Moneyline: LSU (-315) | Auburn (+250)
O/U: 46.5 (O: -110) | (U: -110)
I know there’s been a lot of talk about LSU’s past and struggling to cover against teams that the Tigers are supposed to beat. I’m guilty of entertaining and participating in these discussions myself. This team is cut from a different cloth though. This isn’t your dad’s Les Miles-led LSU, this is a new era overseen by one of the FBS’ winningest coaches.
“Where is all of this headed?” you may ask yourself. LSU to cover at -8.5.
Honestly, I would take the Tigers at -9.5 over Auburn too—that is if you’re one of the unlucky ones to place a bet when the line inevitably jumps again—I’m that confident. The visitors are 3-1 against the spread this season. Furthermore, they have enough talent on both sides of the ball to walk out of Jordan-Hare Stadium with a double-digit victory.
The inclement weather also looks to be a thing of the past as the radar has cleared up for Saturday’s showdown. This plays right into LSU’s hands as it can open up the offense and be as two-dimensional as it was last weekend against New Mexico.
The Tigers have scored at least 28 points in three of their four games this season. The Week 1 loss to Florida State was the only time Mike Denbrock’s offense failed to put 28 on the board. That was a result of LSU looking rusty and playing the nation’s No. 28 defense—it still scored 28. When the Tigers took on Mississippi State (No. 32 total defense), they managed 31 points.
The Bayou Bengals can score enough points to hang with almost any team in the nation when they’re on their game, so I like O 27.5 (-104) on away points.
Kelly’s team will be heading to the Plains with a lot of momentum. People are continuing to doubt LSU’s abilities at every chance, so expect the Tigers to keep those comments in the back of their minds. The visitors won’t allow Auburn to win three straight Tiger Bowls either. Let’s enjoy an LSU victory and hopefully win some money (LSU -9.5 and O 27.5 team points) along the way.