LSU football fans were sent back down to Earth last Saturday. The Tigers were thrashed by Tennessee, 40-13, as they were reminded what kind of year this is set to be. Thankfully, Brian Kelly’s team will be facing off against another rebuilding program this weekend in Billy Napier’s Florida Gators. There is an opportunity for the Bayou Bengals to bounce back.
It’s not going to be easy to go into the Swamp and earn a victory. Florida is always a tough place to play, but Napier’s team has shown it’s capable of beating some tough competition this year. The inconsistency of this LSU squad lives within the Gators too though. These are two similar and unpredictable teams, so where should you put your money on Saturday?
Let’s take a look at some of the best bets for this Week 7 showdown.
LSU football at Florida: Best bets for Week 7 College Football
There hasn’t been much movement on this line up to this point. Florida has been a pretty consistent favorite for oddsmakers, but the point spread shows nobody has much confidence in Billy Napier’s squad. As of Thursday, the Gators were favored by less than a field goal.
Here are all of the odds via FanDuel Sportsbook:
Spread: Florida -2.5 (-112) | LSU +2.5 (-108)
Moneyline: Florida (-134) | LSU (+112)
O/U: 50.5 (O: -114) | (U: -106)
LSU and Florida have two very good defenses. The Tigers and Gators also have two sub-par offenses. Do you need any more explanation as to why I love the under in this game? It seems as if these programs are always locked into low-scoring affairs against each other. I don’t see each team scoring more than 25 points, so I’ll personally be riding with the under (-106).
The gamelines in this contest don’t have much value to them given how oddsmakers view each side. Therefore, the next plays will all come from player props.
The Tigers’ offense has started games slowly. They’ve only scored 10 points in the first quarter throughout their last four games. All 10 came against New Mexico. Even though Kelly loves to take the ball first when his team wins the coin toss, I’m staying far away from any LSU player to be the first touchdown scorer.
Montrell Johnson Jr., on the other hand, is someone I like to score the game’s first touchdown. The Florida running back has five touchdowns this season and he’s found the end zone in his last four games. The Gators may be able to pass the ball against the Tigers’ secondary on the day, but they won’t have much room when they’re in the red zone. Johnson Jr. first touchdown scorer (+850) gives you some tremendous bang for your buck.
There are two other plays that I like in this contest and they both deal with quarterbacks.
Anthony Richardson is a very capable quarterback and he stacks up well against LSU. The Tigers’ defense won’t fall victim to another mobile quarterback as they did against Robby Ashford a few weeks ago though. At least not through the air.
Richardson’s passing yards total right now is set at 177.5 for the game. He’s only reached that mark twice this season: once against Eastern Washington and the other time in an offensive shootout at Tennessee. I believe the Bayou Bengals’ secondary will keep him relatively contained, which means holding him to under 177.5 yards (-114).
Lastly, I like Jayden Daniels any time touchdown scorer (+130). Daniels has scored three touchdowns with his legs this season. Although LSU has gradually phased him out of the running game as the season’s progressed, I think Mike Denbrock will take a different approach after the drubbing the offense suffered last weekend. Daniels will punch it in for six at some point.
Good luck with all of your plays and Geaux Tigers!