5 predictions for Jayden Daniels vs. Alabama in Week 10

Quarterback Jayden Daniels runs the ball as the LSU Tigers take down Alabama 32-31 at Tiger Stadium in Baton Rouge, LA ,Saturday, Nov. 5, 2022.Lsu Vs Alabama Football 3 2121
Quarterback Jayden Daniels runs the ball as the LSU Tigers take down Alabama 32-31 at Tiger Stadium in Baton Rouge, LA ,Saturday, Nov. 5, 2022.Lsu Vs Alabama Football 3 2121 /
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Oct 21, 2023; Baton Rouge, Louisiana, USA; LSU Tigers quarterback Jayden Daniels (5) celebrates a touchdown against the Army Black Knights during the first half at Tiger Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Danny Wild-USA TODAY Sports
Oct 21, 2023; Baton Rouge, Louisiana, USA; LSU Tigers quarterback Jayden Daniels (5) celebrates a touchdown against the Army Black Knights during the first half at Tiger Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Danny Wild-USA TODAY Sports /

Jayden Daniels most consecutive completions: 7

Jayden Daniels has been a very accurate passer this season completing 73.1% of his passes. While Alabama’s defense is stingy against the pass, the Crimson Tide do allow a fairly high completion percentage.

Alabama has allowed opposing quarterbacks to complete 60.6% of their passes which ranks 68th in the country. However, Alabama is great at putting pressure on the quarterback. That’s why I think Jayden Daniels will be running a lot. I also expect him to throw deep a lot.

When kept clean this season, Jayden Daniels is completing 75% of his passes, but when under pressure, he is completing just 55% of his passes. His average depth of target also jumps from 9.7 when clean to 12.7 when pressured.

That means Daniels will be throwing deep a lot in this game and that won’t help him string together completions. I think Daniels completes his first two passes before an incompletion.

Here is his over/under for total completions. I expect Daniels to go under this total. Taking his percentage into account, as well as potential drops, then we can realistically look at a streak of 7 passes without an incompletion at some point in the game.