How the Bart Torvik Metrics see LSU Basketball performing in 2024-25

Shriners Children's Charleston Classic - Day One
Shriners Children's Charleston Classic - Day One / Mitchell Layton/GettyImages

Just like the College Football season, the college basketball season is rapidly approaching for the LSU Basketball team. The LSU Basketball team is working to finalize it's non-conference schedule but, soon we'll have a full schedule for the LSU Basketball team.

One of the best resources to look at for College Basketball fans is the Bart Torvik website. Bart Torvik uses analytics similar to Kenpom to project how a team will perform from offensive and defensive efficiencies to what scores of games will be months in advance. The one aspect the site is missing is Freshmen contributors as there isn't data to base potential performances off of.

Despite LSU Basketball not having a full schedule, the analytical model has the LSU Basketball team going 14-13 overall and 7-11 in conference. In conference it projects that LSU will lose four one possession games against Auburn, Texas, Texas A&M, and Tennessee while Missouri and Oklahoma are projected to beat the Tigers by less than four points.

The teams LSU would love to steal a game off of to build their resume for March will be Alabama which is projected to go 19-11, Auburn projected at 13-7, Tennessee at 14-8, and Mississippi State who's projected to go 16-10.

Out of conference, the model has the LSU Basketball team going 8-1 with the only loss projected to be against Kansas State. The recently added game against SMU is projected to be a close one with the Tigers winning by 1.3 points.

Where the models are going to be low on LSU compared to some of it's counterparts is likely with the transfers and true freshmen. The three talented freshmen LSU signed will all play a massive role this season and potentially earn starting roles later in the year.

Bart Torvik ranks LSU's in conference strength of schedule the 70th hardest in the country while it's non-conference strength of schedule ranks 302nd.

What LSU Basketball should do ahead of the season

The analytical models have the LSU Tigers seemingly missing the NCAA tournament as they'd be a .500 team that struggled in conference. As LSU looks to build out it's non-conference schedule, the Tigers should look to schedule some highly touted mid majors as they could be a massive difference in building LSU's resume. Currently, the Tigers only have three strong non-conference games against SMU, Florida State, and Kansas State which could be a reason the committee would hold LSU out of the tournament. A losing record in conference wouldn't sink the Tigers as the SEC will be the strongest conference this season but, LSU will need to win a few of the games they're projected to lose in conference if they want to return to March Madness.

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