LSU football: Why we love the 2024 regular season win total odds
By John Fye
LSU football has won nine regular season games in Brian Kelly’s first two seasons at the helm in Baton Rouge. Fan expectations are much higher for year three, and the oddsmakers agree.
FanDuel’s SEC regular season odds list LSU football to win 9.5 games in 2024.
Alabama, Missouri, and Ole Miss are also listed at 9.5-win odds. Only Georgia and Texas have a higher projection, with an expected 10.5 wins. Regardless, we think LSU football is a lock to win more than 9.5 regular season games this season.
The Tigers schedule says it all.
The Week 1 neutral site kickoff game limited the 2022-23 LSU football teams to less than ten regular wins. Indeed, the Tigers were unable to get over the Florida State hump in both tries. However, the 2024 Bayou Bengals head to Las Vegas to open 2024, and the USC Trojans are the foe.
Like LSU, USC will begin 2024 with a new starting quarterback. Moreover, USC is attempting to overhaul a pitiful defense that limited Lincoln Riley’s team to an 8-5 finish last season. Either way, we think Brian Kelly’s Tigers are in much better shape to begin 2024 and will be motivated to lift the Week 1 weight off their backs.
An opening weekend win over USC will give LSU football much momentum to navigate a favorable schedule.
We expect the Tigers to cruise to 5-0 in September. Such includes projected wins over Nicholls State, South Carolina, UCLA, and South Alabama. October poses more of a challenge, but LSU will come off a bye week before welcoming Ole Miss to Tiger Stadium on October 12. Games against Ole Miss, Arkansas, and Texas A&M follow.
November opens with Alabama at Tiger Stadium before a road trip to Florida and home games against Vanderbilt and Oklahoma.
If the Tigers stumble during the October slate, we don’t think it’s at the hands of the Razorbacks, Aggies, Commodores, or Sooners. Ole Miss and Alabama remain the most challenging opponents, but beating one of two will keep LSU on the track to win ten games.
Such is assuming Kelly’s team doesn’t come out flat against a beatable opponent. In other words, the 2024 Tigers cannot have a game like the 2022 Tigers played at Texas A&M.
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Predicting an undefeated regular season finish for LSU is too steep for us. But despite the transition to Garrett Nussmeier at starting quarterback and a defense that remains in progress, we’re confident the Tigers will win ten regular season games in 2024.